Assessing Ireland's Trades Part II
Written by Marc Degnan   
Monday, 06 May 2013

 The previous article looked at the trades Ireland made involving the 2013 draft. The conclusions was that he had a +550.2 net gain in points based upon the traditional draft value chart. Before I move into the recent work that people have done I decided it would be good to get a greater picture of how good +550 points is.

I used espn draft trade tracker to catalog all 26 trades executed during the 2013 draft. I summed all the positives and negative points of every trade.

For trades involving future picks, I made the assumption that a pick one year out is worth one round less than a pick this year. For example, if you receive a 2014 5th round pick, I used the value of the middle pick of the 6th round to assign the future pick a value. There was one trade involving a 2015 7th round pick. I assigned zero points to that pick. I honestly can't believe people haggled over the value of a trade using a 7th round pick, 2 years out.

Since I cannot assign a reliable value to players traded, I took them out of the equation and summed the points. Then I report who the team traded for and/or traded away.

Here are the results for 2013:

TEAM NET PLAYER ADDED PLAYER
LOST
Miami Dolphins 550.2   Davon Bess
San Francisco 142.8    
New Orleans Saints 104   Chris Ivory
Atlanta Falcons 21.8    
Baltimore Ravens 20.8    
Tampa Bay Bucs 14.8 Jeff Demps LaGarrette Blount
Pittsburgh Steelers 8    
Denver Broncos 7.2    
Arizona Cardinals 6.6    
Philadelphia Eagles 5.6    
Buffalo Bills 5.6    
Indianapolis Colts 5.1    
New England Patriots 5 LaGarrette Blount Jeff Demps
Houston Texans 4.8    
Detroit Lions -1.3    
San Diego Chargers -3    
New York Giants -3.6    
Chicago Bears -4    
Jacksonville Jaguars -5.6    
Tennessee Titans -7    
Minnesota Vikings -7.8    
Seattle Seahawks -19.5    
St. Louis Rams -25    
Cleveland Browns -48.3 Davon Bess  
Dallas Cowboys -81    
New York Jets -81 Chris Ivory  
Green Bay Packers -81    
Oakland Raider -536.2    

There were 28 teams that made some kind of trade on draft day. 15 of them wound up plus or minus 8 points. The first pick of the 7th round is worth 8.6 points. So they did not really gain or lose much value in the trades, just jockeyed position. Ireland notched +550.2 points but traded away Devon Bess. He absolutely blew away the field. The next closest was San Francisco with +142.8 points.

Obviously the trade with Oakland was a huge trade that makes up most of the points (520 out of 550.2). However, even if you take away the Oakland trade, Ireland still accumulated 30.2 points, minus whatever you would assign to Devon Bess. For comparison, 30.2 points would still put Ireland at #4 on the list.

I even went back and assessed every trade for the previous 4 years (2010-2013 drafts). Ireland's score of +550.2 is by far the best trade over that period. Even better than St. Louis' trade down which gave Washington RGIII (only +135 points).

Using the traditional draft value chart, it is very clear: Ireland did an overall superb job of trades on draft day this year. Even though most of the points came from one trade, it was a huge gain in value for the Dolphins. I will offer a caveat: There are issues with the draft value chart, which is what the updated version I will present next seeks to improve upon. The new version will offer a different evaluation of everyone's bartering skills.

 

 

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Dolphins sign ORT Tyson Clabo/Draft recap radio show
Written by Tony Simmons   
Sunday, 05 May 2013

Miami has made a move to solidify the offensive line, as they have agreed to terms on a 1 year deal with former Atlanta Falcon ORT Tyson Clabo.  The 31 year old Clabo graded out as the 5th best ORT in 2012 per the Pro Football Focus ratings, and at 6'6, 329 lbs, Clabo is strong in both run and pass blocking.  Clabo has always been in a power blocking scheme, but the Dolphins had him in for a workout this week and liked what they saw and feel comfortable with his ability to fit into a zone blocking schme, as they did with OLT Jake Long as well, who was considered more of a power player.

While Armando Salguero of the Miami Herald still thinks the Brandon Albert deal could possibly still happens, I think Miami is comfortable with Jonathan Martin at his natural position of OLT.  It is a big leap of faith the Dolphins are showing in Martin, and he had worked hard to improve his strength and power and has put on 15 lbs of muscle during the off season.  We will see what Miami does, but Martin seems to be the choice to be the OLT going into the 2012 season.

Join myself, Rich, Hen and JP, aka Phins Rock as we discuss the 2013 NFL Draft tonight on Phinfever Radio at 6:00.  The show will run 90 minutes tonight, so if you have any questions or want to voice your thoughts on the Dolphins draft, join us tonight.

 
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