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A new way to evaluate the NFL drafthttp://insider.espn.go.com/nfl/draft10/ ... id=5133008
Scouts Inc. formula puts a different spin on evaluation of overall strategy
By Todd McShay, Steve Muench, Kevin Weidl and Ryan McCrystal
We had a football idea. We don't like the idea of grading teams' drafts immediately after the draft because, even though it's a football cliché, you truly can't evaluate a class for at least three years. Still, we wanted to evaluate teams based on their strategies leading up to and through the draft.
Ryan McCrystal of ESPN Stats & Information helped us come up with a formula ( explained here) that allowed us to rank teams based on the execution of their draft strategy.
While we made sure to factor in team needs, we felt value was more important and weighted it more in our formula. Our feeling is that getting value has a bigger impact on a draft class than addressing, and possibly reaching for, team needs. And unlike most draft reviews, we wanted to make sure we accounted for the year-round use of draft picks.
For example, this year we saw top players like Santonio Holmes and Adam Carriker traded for fifth-round picks, and that plays into a team's strategy. That can't be overlooked when evaluating an overall draft.
Armed with McCrystal's formula, we feel this is a fair and analytical look at each team's draft. The jury will remain out for a few years as to how good the players are, but this gives a look at how each team executed its draft strategy.