So, I would agree with PFF here in their reasoning why Tua does not throw 25 TDs. If Tua has more than 25 TD passes this year, then I would imagine that the running game did not get the job done ... or we lost Tua for several games. I do disagree that we will see Bridgwater unless for injury.
PFF wrote:
Miami Dolphins (+475, 9)
Bet to Make: Tua Tagovailoa Under 25.5 touchdown passes (-115) on BetMGM
This could go under for a number of reasons. Firstly, the Shanahan-type offense hasn’t really supported the type of quarterback that goes over this mark, with 26, 25, 28, 26 and 15 total touchdown passes in Kyle Shanahan's five-year San Francisco tenure, respectively. Only one individual quarterback has gone over this total during that time, which plays into the second reason: Tua has dealt with injuries throughout the end of his college career and during his NFL career, making an over dicey. Lastly, this is a team that wants to win now, and any slip ups by Tua will lead to Teddy Bridgewater playing, which means you cash this bet with ease.
https://www.pff.com/news/one-bet-we-lik ... falo-stock