GIANTS (4-7) at DOLPHINS (5-7)
Line: MIA by 4.
Cote’s pick: MIA, 23-18.
TV: 1 p.m., Fox.

We interrupt this little Dolphins victory parade with a buzzkill warning: Miami even with four straight wins is not good enough to take any team lightly, and Sunday’s visit by the Giants feels like a challenging afternoon. NYG quietly has won three of its past five games, with an improving defense that now gets back top safety Logan Ryan off the COVID list. Also expect a full dose of Saquon Barkley, who seems the healthiest he has been all year. Biggies QB Daniel Jones (strained neck) is iffy to play, with Mike Glennon on call, but I anticipate Jones getting the green light.

Bottom line: Miami wins if we get the the Fins defense and the Tua Tagovailoa we have seen during this streak.

The concern: Isn’t Miami due a stumble? A regression toward the mean? Fins’ defense has been lights out good on this four-game run, and Tagovailoa has topped 80 percent accuracy each of the past two games — only the fourth QB ever to do that. The Giants, on a 12-3 run against the spread as road dogs, are poised to end Miami’s party if the Fins don’t bring the same intensity we have been seeing.

According to Tipico Sportsbook, Brian Flores’ team has moved from 2.5-point favorites to 3.5-point favorites. Their win on the moneyline has shifted from -155 to -205, and the over/under has dropped from 41.5 to 40.5.

30-10 phins win.

The Dolphins SHOULD win, but we said that about the Jacksonville and Atlanta games...

Miami 27
NYG 9

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Almost got it. Maybe if Waddle doesn't drop that pass....