Greg Cote (Miami Herald) wrote:
GIANTS (4-7) at DOLPHINS (5-7)
Line: MIA by 4.
Cote’s pick: MIA, 23-18.
TV: 1 p.m., Fox.
We interrupt this little Dolphins victory parade with a buzzkill warning: Miami even with four straight wins is not good enough to take any team lightly, and Sunday’s visit by the Giants feels like a challenging afternoon. NYG quietly has won three of its past five games, with an improving defense that now gets back top safety Logan Ryan off the COVID list. Also expect a full dose of Saquon Barkley, who seems the healthiest he has been all year. Biggies QB Daniel Jones (strained neck) is iffy to play, with Mike Glennon on call, but I anticipate Jones getting the green light.
Bottom line: Miami wins if we get the the Fins defense and the Tua Tagovailoa we have seen during this streak.
The concern: Isn’t Miami due a stumble? A regression toward the mean? Fins’ defense has been lights out good on this four-game run, and Tagovailoa has topped 80 percent accuracy each of the past two games — only the fourth QB ever to do that. The Giants, on a 12-3 run against the spread as road dogs, are poised to end Miami’s party if the Fins don’t bring the same intensity we have been seeing.
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