ESPN Insider asked 8 of their NFL analysts who will be picking overall #1 in the 2020 draft.
* Dolphins: 4
* Cardinals: 3
* Bengals: 1
While it is very hard for me to get onboard with these predictions as I have not seen our personnel decisions yet, we may only see 4-5 wins.
ESPN Insider wrote:
Which team should be the early favorite to pick No. 1 overall in the 2020 draft?http://www.espn.com/nfl/insider/story/_ ... -questions
Bowen: Dolphins. I've been through a coaching change as a player in the NFL, and that transition can be rough, especially for a team such as Miami with a limited roster, plus an expected change coming at quarterback. Look for the Dolphins to hit the reset button in 2019 as they turn over the locker room and build a new identity.
Clay: Dolphins. Quarterback uncertainty? Check. Overhauled coaching staff? Check. Holes on the offensive line? Check. Uninspiring offensive skill position players? Check. Multiple defensive voids (especially in the front seven)? Check. Minimal cap space? You guessed it -- check. This franchise has a lot of work to do this offseason to avoid plummeting in the standings.
Graziano: Cardinals ... again. Josh Rosen is starting over in Year 2 with a new coaching staff and a completely untested coach, with lots of work still to do to make the roster respectable. ... The Cardinals are a long ways off.
Joyner: Dolphins. Adam Gase was the subject of a lot of jokes in his first news conference with the Jets, but let's not forget that he got fired despite getting seven wins out of a Dolphins team that has three- or four-win-caliber talent. Add that to the transition woes inherent under a new coach, and the bottom is likely to drop out on Miami in 2019.
Reid: Cardinals. They are a complete mess. It's fair to question the overall direction of the organization, and the roster needs a ton of work. I mean, it wouldn't be surprising if Arizona had to start all over again in a couple of seasons.
Sando: Dolphins. They are willingly entering a rebuilding phase without a difference-making quarterback and without especially high draft choices. They were one of two teams (the Cardinals were the other) to finish 2018 with zero games in which both their offense and defense were at least average in ESPN's efficiency metrics. Miami lost five games by at least 17 points (only Arizona lost more of those, with six).
Seifert: Cardinals. Not enough people recognize the unusual approach the Cardinals are taking to dig out of their hole. They hired a failed college coach (Kliff Kingsbury) because they think he is a good playcaller, will start a quarterback (Rosen) who ranked last in the NFL in Total QBR and have a coaching staff hired by the general manager. Sometimes different is good, but this arrangement has a chance to bomb spectacularly.
Yates: Bengals. Cincinnati could find itself in a quarterback transition phase, and the defense has glaring holes. Patience shouldn't be a problem for Zac Taylor, as the Bengals just showed as much with Marvin Lewis to try to get over the top. Now, with Taylor in tow, the Bengals should face an honest reality about their franchise trajectory and allow him the time to build things back up.