First of all, let's not even compare Tannehill athletically to Jackson. He's not even in the same zip code in terms of athleticism, ability to create, make people miss, etc. Second of all, six years later Tannehill has still not developed as a QB and this franchise can not afford to waste any more time. Jackson will need development but his upside is so much more that even if we had to wait half the time wasted on Tannehill Jackson would make it worth taking the chance, and even more so when the alternative, ie., drafting so-called blue chippers, has been tried here over and over for ten, twenty years and we've still not seen one game changer in the lot.
And unless the coaches put led weights on his ankles and make him what he isn't, a pocket QB, there's no doubt Jackson would make our fingers tingle if drafted. He's exciting, is a gifted, natural play maker, often all by himself. Who was the last one we had that could do that? Ricky? Mercury? Warfield? Marino? A big part of the problem with this team's image, besides the donkeys that own the team and run the front office, is that it is all blasé, indifferent, nothing worth watching, in other words boring. You add "loser" to "boring" and it's way past the time to do something about it.
Now, having said all that, I doubt this front office has the cojones to pull it off, but well, that's my wish for tonight.
Ok, between this and Kev's post there is a lot to unpack. I don't know what he means by "those guys" but whatever.
You guys are contradicting yourselves and assigning a value to Lamar Jackson that doesn't appear to be there in the professional scouting community.
Kev said something about QBs being taken many many times before needs. If we go back 20 years the percentage of "hits" on a 1st Round QB is at best 25%. In hindsight everyone complains they wasted their pick on QB X when this bonafide starter was available. So is the GM who takes a chance every year or the one plays it smart better? Darnold and Mayfield are the only projected QBs who have a floor as "average" starting QB.
You can praise Jackson is the more electric runner but how often does that translate to the NFL? Rarely. Jackson struggles with the same things that countless other mobile QBs do - short and mid accuracy, bailing on the pocket too soon, and having simple reads. His upside is better than Tannehill? Please re-read the scouting reports from 2012 and comp them with what you're reading now. I'm sure you'll be surprised. You're falling for the shiny new toy. Jackson could be Aaron Rodgers or he could be RG III. History and odds point to the latter more than the first guy.
Now look at what else is available at the position. I think Jackson is a fine pick in the 2nd Round, maybe even worth moving up in the round or to the late 1st. But Mike White, Luke Falk and Mason Rudolph all display the short and mid term accuracy that translate to NFL success. They have better size and are proven leaders. No saying Jackson isn't a leader, but just pointing out these other guys aren't cast offs and have just as good of a chance to succeed.
Now if you want bold than really be bold. Trade everything to go up and get Darnold or Mayfield, whichever one slips. I'm fine with that so long as we understand the odds.
There is a guy on Twitter who goes by Joe W Dolphins. Omar Kelly talks with him often. He is hyper critical of QBs and a known Tannehill denouncer. He is pretty accurate with who he has advocated for the in the past (he was spot on with Dak Prescott and was calling for Mayfield before many others). He basically has said Mayfield is the guy, Darnold is pretty good, and otherwise wait for either White or Rudolph in the 2nd tier. He doesn't like Jackson for the size and accuracy concerns. He also wants nothing to do with Rosen or Allen. Combine that with Galko, Allbright and others saying the same thing and you have yourself a researched QB argument.
So again, do we go for another truly unknown like Tannehill (asked to be more a dual threat) that could take more than usual time to find out if they have IT, or find a playmaker at another spot? A QB is coming to Miami in this draft. I just hope they either trade up like crazy to get Darnold/Mayfield or take a solid guy in Round 2/3. Remember, Joe Flacco won a Super Bowl and has never come close to throwing 30 TDs in a season.