Lets take Cleveland for example. They currently have Cody Kessler, Kevin Hogan and Deshone Kizer. If they plan on using the number 1 pick to get either Rosen or Darnold, would you offer them a 4th Rounder for Kizer? He has the size, arm and seems very intelligent. Not saying that particular situation has to happen but its a thought.
No, I looked really hard at qb's last year and the only one I thought was worth anything was Patrick Mahomes. I don't want Kiser, even for a 4th. Kessler might be worth a look at for backup. I like McCarron from Cinci and would trade a 2nd for him, though I'm not sure he'd be better than Tannehill.
But if I thought it was time to get a qb and wanted to do so in FA, I'd go big or stay home. If Washington is stupid and has to franchise Cousin's again, I might give up the two 1st round picks to grab him on top of the 30 million a year we'd have to pay him.
I'm also keeping an eye on the Luck situation. There are reports Irsay is unhappy Luck didn't play this year. Could we take advantage and send him our first and Tannehill? I'd do that in a heartbeat.
A few things have to shake out in the top of the draft. Sam Darnold has to make a decision and his decision changes everything. Cleveland has to decide if Kizer is worth developing further.
That they tried to trade for McCarron tells me Cleveland's going to grab a qb with their top pick. They pretty much have to or their fanbase will revolt.
Remember, last year people wrote off Jared Goff and he is having a great season in year 2 so sometimes patience is required.
If you draft a qb high, then you need to be patient. It's rare any qb does well their first year, and those that did had a really good team around them. I think quite a few rookie qb's have failed because they were thrown in before they were ready.
Will Denver hit the reset button or aim for a veteran since they still have a very good defense/supporting cast?
While you made a great point about Eli going to Jacksonville, I predict he goes to Denver.
Also don't forget KC will most likely cut ties with Alex Smith.
Will the Jets be looking at a top QB?
Probably, but we can always hope they grab the wrong one.
As of right now the only top QBs I'm comfortable taking are Sam Darnold and Baker Mayfield. Both seem to have IT, and both make wow throws. That is what you look for when spending a top pick.
Even if we move to number 5, there is no way we get Darnold if he declares. He goes to Cleveland. Mayfield is who we should look hard at. And it's really important to get in front of the Jets to do so. Rosen I wouldn't want and you think the Giants are targeting him, right?
But like I said, I'm happy to stick with Tannehill and draft one of those other QB's in the second/3rd round. I'll let you tell us who that could and should be. (I really haven't studied any of them yet.)